6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,400 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,599/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,033
Tax + insurance
−$884
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,386
Net cashflow
$296/mo
Annual
$3,557/yr
Cap rate
6.76%
Cash-on-cash
1.65%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$215,320
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $769k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $296 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $99/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $660k (14.2% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $660k (14.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $23k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#12 in RI, #4,784 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
East Providence (suburban): math 18% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #26 of 39 in RI (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 776 units permitted in Providence County in 2024 (229 in 5+ unit buildings).
Providence County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $600k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 74% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.2% in East Providence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,599/mo this rent would consume 129% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 1134% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T14TYD8916VJ44
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29