3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,042 sqft ·
Built 1954
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 132 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,850/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$968
Tax + insurance
−$265
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$598
Net cashflow
$1,019/mo
Annual
$12,222/yr
Cap rate
12.92%
Cash-on-cash
23.66%
DSCR
2.05
1% rule
1.54%
Cash to close
$51,660
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $184k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $184k).
It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $162k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#117 in TX, #3,765 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Hallsville ISD (town): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #490 of 826 in TX (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hallsville H S (math 66% / reading 70%, grade B, #150 of 1,632 statewide, top 10%, 1,456 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 68% at this address vs 35% district-wide (+33 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Hallsville ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 168 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 85 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T2JGXY390GZZRR
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29