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311 S Chestnut Hall St
B- Composite 69.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$184,500

311 S Chestnut Hall St · Hallsville, TX 75650
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,042 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 132 Days on market
Built 1954 0.41 ac lot $90/sqft · 56% below area ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

GREAT NEW LISTING, 3 BEDROOM 2 BATH ON CORNER LOT IN AWARD WINNING HALLSVILLE SCHOOLS. LARGE LOT, HARDWOOD FLOORS, OPEN DEN AND KITCHEN, 2ND LIVING AREA OR GAMEROOM. WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS.

Key facts

  • 2nd living area
  • Open den and kitchen
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTHARDWOOD FLOORSOPEN DEN AND KITCHEN2ND LIVING AREAWALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $184k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $184k).
  • Recommended offer: $162k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#117 in TX, #3,765 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Hallsville ISD (town): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #490 of 826 in TX (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 168 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 85 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $162,360 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
12.92%
Cash-on-cash
23.66%
DSCR
2.05
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$414,822
List price
$184,500
Delta
-55.52%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
310 S Cypress St 0.05mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,848 (-10%) 6mo $93,999 $51 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$34,991
Equity at exit
$27,510
10-year hold
IRR
25.3%
Equity multiple
3.21×
Total profit
$114,071
Equity at exit
$15,952

Cash invested: $51,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75650

Home prices YoY
-27.9%
Active inventory
168
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,850 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$968
Tax from tax record
$189 /mo · $2,263/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$598
Net cashflow
$1,019

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,561
Max offer price $184,500
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,123 -5% $1,071 +0% $1,019 +5% $966 +10% $914
Rent -10% $793 -5% $906 +0% $1,019 +5% $1,131 +10% $1,244
Rate -1.0pp $1,111 -0.5pp $1,065 base $1,019 +0.5pp $971 +1.0pp $922

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,125
Closing costs
$5,535
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
408 S Cypress St Hallsville, TX 4.0 2.0 1958 $2,850 $1.46 45d 1 0.23mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $184,500 Active 132 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $184,500 Active 130 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $184,500 Active 129 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $184,500 Active 128 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $184,500 Active 127 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $184,500 Active 126 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $184,500 Active 124 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $184,500 Active 123 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $184,500 Active 121 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $184,500 Active 120 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $184,500 Active 119 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $184,500 Active 118 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $184,500 Active 115 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $184,500 Active 113 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $184,500 Active 112 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $184,500 Active 111 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $184,500 Active 110 DOM
  18. 2026-03-17
    price $184,500 194-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    GREAT NEW LISTING, 3 BEDROOM 2 BATH ON CORNER LOT IN AWARD WINNING HALLSVILLE SCHOOLS. LARGE LOT, HARDWOOD FLOORS, OPEN DEN AND KITCHEN, 2ND LIVING AREA OR GAMEROOM. WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS.

  19. 2026-02-13
    status Active 194-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    GREAT NEW LISTING, 3 BEDROOM 2 BATH ON CORNER LOT IN AWARD WINNING HALLSVILLE SCHOOLS. LARGE LOT, HARDWOOD FLOORS, OPEN DEN AND KITCHEN, 2ND LIVING AREA OR GAMEROOM. WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS.

  20. 2025-10-15
    listed $215,000 Active 194-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    GREAT NEW LISTING, 3 BEDROOM 2 BATH ON CORNER LOT IN AWARD WINNING HALLSVILLE SCHOOLS. LARGE LOT, HARDWOOD FLOORS, OPEN DEN AND KITCHEN, 2ND LIVING AREA OR GAMEROOM. WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS.

  21. 2006-06-07
    soldstatus
  22. 2000-06-30
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,263 · $189/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,376 · $281/mo
Expected delta
+$1,114/yr (+$93/mo · 49.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 57% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,200
− Mortgage interest
−$10,335
− Property taxes
−$2,263
− Insurance
−$922
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,736
− Management
−$2,736
− Depreciation
−$5,367
Taxable income
$9,841
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,362
After-tax cash flow
$9,861/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hallsville ISD
NCES district ID
4822170
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$57,770
Composite
31.05/100
National rank
#6081
State rank
#490 of 826 in TX

Livability — Hallsville

Score
76/100
State rank
#117
US rank
#3765

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hallsville, TX
Population (ZIP)
10,233

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,691 people
By 2030
69,317 · +0.9%
By 2040
69,973 · +1.9%
By 2050
70,090 · +2.0%
By 2075
70,607 · +2.8%
By 2100
67,546 · -1.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Native American 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Italian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.6) · D 24.4% · R 75.0%
2008→2024 swing
-19.2pp toward R · 2008: -31.4pp · 2024: -50.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.6 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+34.6 2008: R+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -63.30%
Current HPI
163.1524
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $184,500 LAAR
  • 2026-02-13 Relisted LAAR
  • 2025-10-15 Listed $215,000 LAAR
  • 2006-06-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2000-06-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,263 · +17.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…