None bd · 16.0 ba ·
8,062 sqft ·
Built 1911
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 170 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$30,414/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$9,702
Tax + insurance
−$2,825
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$6,387
Net cashflow
$11,501/mo
Annual
$138,008/yr
Cap rate
13.75%
Cash-on-cash
26.64%
DSCR
2.19
1% rule
1.64%
Cash to close
$518,000
Investor read
This is a 16 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $1.85M. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $12k ($138k/yr) — positive. Per door: $719/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($30k rent vs $1.85M).
It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.63M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.63M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $13k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $56k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Vermont Avenue Elementary (361 students, 96% FRL); West Adams Preparatory High (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #826 of 1,170 statewide, top 80%, 1,080 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 67% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Los Angeles Unified average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 106 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 43d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
12 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $1.27M; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.9% rent growth), your $518k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-T31HWQ4BPEHG6S
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29