2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,013 sqft ·
Built 2005
· Condo
· Pending
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,741/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,883
Tax + insurance
−$484
HOA
−$485
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$576
Net cashflow
$-686/mo
Annual
$-8,233/yr
Cap rate
4.00%
Cash-on-cash
-8.19%
DSCR
0.64
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$100,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $359k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-686 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (33.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $274k (23.7% below list).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($348k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $238k (33.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $38k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $36k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#75 in WA, #1,371 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Auburn School District (urban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #125 of 291 in WA (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Lakeland Hills Elementary (536 students, 35% FRL); Auburn Riverside High School (1,909 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$62k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T3NCM2FSM09BTD
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29