3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 1997
· Other
· Active
· 96 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$12,562/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,884
Tax + insurance
−$1,118
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,638
Net cashflow
$5,922/mo
Annual
$71,068/yr
Cap rate
20.68%
Cash-on-cash
51.37%
DSCR
3.29
1% rule
2.28%
Cash to close
$153,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $550k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($71k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $550k).
It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($500k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $500k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#412 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A-, housing B; Watch: employment D+, crime D-, amenities F.
Carteret County Public Schools (rural): math 59% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #31 of 178 in NC (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Newport Elementary (math 48% / reading 45%, grade D-, #542 of 1,410 statewide, top 39%, 645 students, 100% FRL); Newport Middle (math 39% / reading 56%, grade C-, #140 of 475 statewide, top 30%, 378 students, 98% FRL); West Carteret High (math 82% / reading 71%, grade A-, #89 of 535 statewide, top 16%, 1,146 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 39% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $669/mo.
Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 935 units permitted in Carteret County in 2024 (360 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carteret County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $150k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $154k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone VE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 20.7% vs local median 2.0% in Morehead City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $12,562/mo this rent would consume 215% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 461% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T3YMBP5V361XAB
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29