3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,757/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$704
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$369
Net cashflow
$55/mo
Annual
$660/yr
Cap rate
11.45%
Cash-on-cash
18.41%
DSCR
1.82
1% rule
1.46%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($660/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#133 in VA, #4,302 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
Hampton City Public School District (urban): math 60% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #40 of 131 in VA (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Alfred S. Forrest Elementary (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C, #650 of 1,108 statewide, top 62%, 540 students, 85% FRL); Bethel High (math 64% / reading 84%, grade B+, #120 of 319 statewide, top 38%, 1,777 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 49% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 42 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 68 units permitted in Hampton city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hampton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 4.5% in Hampton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T4BG3K58AN0KVT
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29