3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,875 sqft ·
Built 1959
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,444/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$886
Tax + insurance
−$269
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$303
Net cashflow
$-14/mo
Annual
$-168/yr
Cap rate
6.19%
Cash-on-cash
-0.35%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$47,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-14 ($-168/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $167k (1.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (14.5% below list).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $144k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Turner Elementary Middle School (math 8% / reading 16%, grade F, #568 of 646 statewide, top 89%, 1,371 students, 81% FRL); Caddo Parish Middle Magnet School (math 79% / reading 93%, grade A+, #1 of 218 statewide, top 0%, 1,003 students, 23% FRL); Huntington High School (math 6% / reading 34%, grade F, #183 of 265 statewide, top 70%, 1,228 students, 72% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 39% at this address vs 26% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Caddo Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 156 active listings in the ZIP; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T6ABR7DZ0VAD6M
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29