3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,563 sqft ·
Built 2005
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 144 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,930/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,730
Tax + insurance
−$263
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$405
Net cashflow
$-468/mo
Annual
$-5,617/yr
Cap rate
4.59%
Cash-on-cash
-6.08%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
0.58%
Cash to close
$92,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $330k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-468 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $247k (25.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (41.5% below list).
It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $193k (41.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#107 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
Camden County (town): math 56% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #9 of 174 in GA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 383 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Camden County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
9 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $220k; 50% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$57k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 2.9% in Woodbine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 42% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T6K1RB5RYM2FJ1
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29