2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 1971
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 142 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$91
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$315
Net cashflow
$308/mo
Annual
$3,692/yr
Cap rate
8.75%
Cash-on-cash
8.79%
DSCR
1.39
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $308 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#514 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Ashe County Schools (rural): math 53% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #53 of 178 in NC (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Blue Ridge Elementary (math 46% / reading 53%, grade D, #417 of 1,410 statewide, top 32%, 360 students, 71% FRL); Ashe County Middle (math 58% / reading 57%, grade B, #64 of 475 statewide, top 14%, 440 students, 64% FRL); Ashe County High (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C, #248 of 535 statewide, top 48%, 792 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 46% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 190 units permitted in Ashe County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ashe County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $82k; list at $150k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 1.7% in Lansing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T7B73W78AKRB2Y
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29