3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,372 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 423 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,216/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$104
Tax + insurance
−$30
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$255
Net cashflow
$826/mo
Annual
$9,911/yr
Cap rate
56.10%
Cash-on-cash
177.87%
DSCR
8.91
1% rule
6.11%
Cash to close
$5,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $826 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
It's been on market 423 days — a 12% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $18k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $735 of equity ($138 loan paydown + $597 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 52/100 on livability (#685 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, housing F.
Martin County Schools (rural): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #150 of 178 in NC (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: South Creek Middle (204 students, 98% FRL); South Creek High (math 9% / reading 22%, grade F, #510 of 535 statewide, top 95%, 236 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 62% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 29% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Martin County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP.
Martin County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (43%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 423 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T7WGGYCK88QJN3
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29