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D+ Composite 47.49
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$19,900

212 N West Ave · Oak City, NC 27857
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,372 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 423 Days on market
Built 1950 8,712 sqft lot ↓ 43% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Calling all Investors! Looking for an opportunity add to your portfolio? This 1500 square foot home could be your next FLIP. Great area with a lot of potential. Bring your vision and make it yours today.

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 422 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-site unpaved parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer available; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Porch

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Master downstairs
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling (type listed as Other)
  • Interior features: Master suite on the ground floor; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $826 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
  • Recommended offer: $18k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 52/100 on livability (#685 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, housing F.
  • Martin County Schools (rural): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #150 of 178 in NC (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: South Creek Middle (204 students, 98% FRL); South Creek High (math 9% / reading 22%, grade F, #510 of 535 statewide, top 95%, 236 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 62% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 29% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Martin County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $735 of equity ($138 loan paydown + $597 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Martin County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 423 days — a 12% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (43%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $17,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 423 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
6.11%
Cap rate
56.10%
Cash-on-cash
177.87%
DSCR
8.91
GRM
1.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$69,972
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
106 S Chestnut St 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,314 (-4%) 17mo $25,000 $19 68
307 Nc Hwy 11 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,468 (+7%) 22mo $75,000 $51 58
325 E Commerce St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-9%) 10mo $185,400 $149 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
10.87×
Total profit
$55,016
Equity at exit
$8,948
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
22.92×
Total profit
$122,158
Equity at exit
$13,790

Cash invested: $5,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27857

Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
1.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,216 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$104
Tax from tax record
$22 /mo · $262/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$826

Break-even live

Break-even rent $170
Max offer price $19,900
Occupancy floor 27%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$4,975
Closing costs
$597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $19,900 Active 423 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $19,900 Active 422 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $19,900 Active 421 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $19,900 Active 420 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $19,900 Active 419 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $19,900 Active 417 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $19,900 Active 416 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $19,900 Active 413 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $19,900 Active 412 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $19,900 Active 411 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $19,900 Active 407 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $19,900 Active 406 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $19,900 Active 405 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $19,900 Active 404 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $19,900 Active 403 DOM
  16. 2026-04-23
    status Active
  17. 2026-04-16
    price $19,900
  18. 2026-04-15
    historical
  19. 2025-11-24
    price $22,000
  20. 2025-07-29
    price $25,000
  21. 2025-06-13
    price $30,000
  22. 2025-05-13
    price $33,000
  23. 2025-04-15
    listed $35,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$262 · $22/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$262 · $22/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,588
− Mortgage interest
−$1,115
− Property taxes
−$262
− Insurance
−$100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,167
− Management
−$1,167
− Depreciation
−$579
Taxable income
$10,199
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,448
After-tax cash flow
$7,463/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Martin County Schools
NCES district ID
3702880
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$35,403
Composite
23.94/100
National rank
#7781
State rank
#150 of 178 in NC

Livability — Oak City

Score
52/100
State rank
#685
US rank
#24745

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oak City, NC
Population (ZIP)
1,211

Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,018 people
By 2030
19,693 · -6.3%
By 2040
16,793 · -20.1%
By 2050
14,171 · -32.6%
By 2075
9,804 · -53.4%
By 2100
6,894 · -67.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (55%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 44%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Martin

2024 margin
R (+10.3) · D 44.6% · R 54.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: -10.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.3 2020: R+5.0 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-43.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $19,900 Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-15 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-11-24 Price Changed $22,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-07-29 Price Changed $25,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-06-13 Price Changed $30,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-05-13 Price Changed $33,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-04-15 Listed $35,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

-4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $262 · -21.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…