4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,825 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,898/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,201
Tax + insurance
−$470
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$609
Net cashflow
$618/mo
Annual
$7,421/yr
Cap rate
9.53%
Cash-on-cash
11.57%
DSCR
1.51
1% rule
1.27%
Cash to close
$64,120
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $229k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $618 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $229k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#125 in IL, #2,172 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, commute F.
Round Lake CUSD 116 (suburban): math 7% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #560 of 620 in IL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 97 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
8 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask is 12% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $85k; list at $229k implies a 169% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 5.8% in Round Lake Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($99k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T84P4WATVTPM1X
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29