3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,869 sqft ·
Built 1960
· Other
· Active
· 262 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,147/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$123
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$241
Net cashflow
$-82/mo
Annual
$-982/yr
Cap rate
5.70%
Cash-on-cash
-2.13%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-82 ($-982/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $151k (8.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (30.5% below list).
It's been on market 262 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $115k (30.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#192 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP.
Rio Arriba County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 262 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29