450 W Griffith #20 Rd

Pocatello, ID 83201

$20,000D+

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 696 sqft · Built 1971 · Manufactured · Pending

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,062/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$105
• Tax + insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$525
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$223
• Net cashflow: $176/mo
• Annual: $2,109/yr
• Cap rate: 16.84%
• Cash-on-cash: 37.66%
• DSCR: 2.68
• 1% rule: 5.31%
• Cash to close: $5,600

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $20k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $176 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
• Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in ID, #758 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D.
• Pocatello District (urban): math 45% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #26 of 92 in ID (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Syringa Elementary School (math 43% / reading 57%, grade D+, #147 of 357 statewide, top 41%, 356 students, 45% FRL); Alameda Middle School (math 46% / reading 57%, grade C, #28 of 109 statewide, top 25%, 645 students, 40% FRL); Pocatello High School (math 45% / reading 65%, grade C, #25 of 169 statewide, top 14%, 1,352 students, 28% FRL).
• Watch-outs: HOA is 49% of rent.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 365 active listings in the ZIP; 325 units permitted in Bannock County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
• 17 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.