450 W Griffith #20 Rd · Pocatello, ID
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$20,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
THIS IS A 3 BEDROOM, 1 BATHROOM MANUFACTURED HOME ON A RENTED LOT. IT IS A FIXER UPPER. SOME REMODELING WAS STARTED BUT NOT COMPLETED. IT HAS METAL SIDING, VINYL WINDOWS, AND SOME FRESH PAINT. THIS HOME HAS A NICE LARGE SIDE YARD. NEWER GAS FURNACE. TILE SHOWER SURROUND IN THE BATHROOM. OFF-STREET PARKING. THE HOME IS NOT ON A FOUNDATION. THE LOT SPACE IS $525 PER MONTH PLUS WATER. THE HOME CANNOT BE MOVED BY THE PURCHASER AND NEEDS TO REMAIN IN THIS LOCATION.
Key facts
- Built 1971
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $20k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $176 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in ID, #758 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D.
- Pocatello District (urban): math 45% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #26 of 92 in ID (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Syringa Elementary School (math 43% / reading 57%, grade D+, #147 of 357 statewide, top 41%, 356 students, 45% FRL); Alameda Middle School (math 46% / reading 57%, grade C, #28 of 109 statewide, top 25%, 645 students, 40% FRL); Pocatello High School (math 45% / reading 65%, grade C, #25 of 169 statewide, top 14%, 1,352 students, 28% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 365 active listings in the ZIP; 325 units permitted in Bannock County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 17 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 49% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.66%
- DSCR
- 2.68
- GRM
- 1.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.55×
- Total profit
- $8,688
- Equity at exit
- $2,982
- IRR
- 43.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.46×
- Total profit
- $24,995
- Equity at exit
- $1,729
Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Idaho
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 83201
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 365
- Price-to-rent
- 1.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,062 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$105
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$25 /mo · $300/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- HOA
- −$525
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $176
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,000
- Closing costs
- $600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $525 · $6,300/yr
- Likely covers
- watergas
Listing history 50 events
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2026-05-23historical
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2026-05-22soldstatus Closed 464-char remark
Show marketing remark (464 chars)
THIS IS A 3 BEDROOM, 1 BATHROOM MANUFACTURED HOME ON A RENTED LOT. IT IS A FIXER UPPER. SOME REMODELING WAS STARTED BUT NOT COMPLETED. IT HAS METAL SIDING, VINYL WINDOWS, AND SOME FRESH PAINT. THIS HOME HAS A NICE LARGE SIDE YARD. NEWER GAS FURNACE. TILE SHOWER SURROUND IN THE BATHROOM. OFF-STREET PARKING. THE HOME IS NOT ON A FOUNDATION. THE LOT SPACE IS $525 PER MONTH PLUS WATER. THE HOME CANNOT BE MOVED BY THE PURCHASER AND NEEDS TO REMAIN IN THIS LOCATION.
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2026-05-22$20,000
Show marketing remark (464 chars)
THIS IS A 3 BEDROOM, 1 BATHROOM MANUFACTURED HOME ON A RENTED LOT. IT IS A FIXER UPPER. SOME REMODELING WAS STARTED BUT NOT COMPLETED. IT HAS METAL SIDING, VINYL WINDOWS, AND SOME FRESH PAINT. THIS HOME HAS A NICE LARGE SIDE YARD. NEWER GAS FURNACE. TILE SHOWER SURROUND IN THE BATHROOM. OFF-STREET PARKING. THE HOME IS NOT ON A FOUNDATION. THE LOT SPACE IS $525 PER MONTH PLUS WATER. THE HOME CANNOT BE MOVED BY THE PURCHASER AND NEEDS TO REMAIN IN THIS LOCATION.
-
2026-05-14status Pending 464-char remark
Show marketing remark (464 chars)
THIS IS A 3 BEDROOM, 1 BATHROOM MANUFACTURED HOME ON A RENTED LOT. IT IS A FIXER UPPER. SOME REMODELING WAS STARTED BUT NOT COMPLETED. IT HAS METAL SIDING, VINYL WINDOWS, AND SOME FRESH PAINT. THIS HOME HAS A NICE LARGE SIDE YARD. NEWER GAS FURNACE. TILE SHOWER SURROUND IN THE BATHROOM. OFF-STREET PARKING. THE HOME IS NOT ON A FOUNDATION. THE LOT SPACE IS $525 PER MONTH PLUS WATER. THE HOME CANNOT BE MOVED BY THE PURCHASER AND NEEDS TO REMAIN IN THIS LOCATION.
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2026-04-15soldstatus Closed
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2026-04-02status Pending
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2026-03-28$20,000 Active
Show marketing remark (464 chars)
THIS IS A 3 BEDROOM, 1 BATHROOM MANUFACTURED HOME ON A RENTED LOT. IT IS A FIXER UPPER. SOME REMODELING WAS STARTED BUT NOT COMPLETED. IT HAS METAL SIDING, VINYL WINDOWS, AND SOME FRESH PAINT. THIS HOME HAS A NICE LARGE SIDE YARD. NEWER GAS FURNACE. TILE SHOWER SURROUND IN THE BATHROOM. OFF-STREET PARKING. THE HOME IS NOT ON A FOUNDATION. THE LOT SPACE IS $525 PER MONTH PLUS WATER. THE HOME CANNOT BE MOVED BY THE PURCHASER AND NEEDS TO REMAIN IN THIS LOCATION.
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2026-03-28$20,000 Active 464-char remark
Show marketing remark (464 chars)
THIS IS A 3 BEDROOM, 1 BATHROOM MANUFACTURED HOME ON A RENTED LOT. IT IS A FIXER UPPER. SOME REMODELING WAS STARTED BUT NOT COMPLETED. IT HAS METAL SIDING, VINYL WINDOWS, AND SOME FRESH PAINT. THIS HOME HAS A NICE LARGE SIDE YARD. NEWER GAS FURNACE. TILE SHOWER SURROUND IN THE BATHROOM. OFF-STREET PARKING. THE HOME IS NOT ON A FOUNDATION. THE LOT SPACE IS $525 PER MONTH PLUS WATER. THE HOME CANNOT BE MOVED BY THE PURCHASER AND NEEDS TO REMAIN IN THIS LOCATION.
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2025-09-17soldstatus Closed
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2025-09-09historical
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2025-09-09$30,000
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2025-06-09$5,000 Active
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2025-01-10soldstatus Closed
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2025-01-10soldstatus Closed
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2024-12-12status Pending
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2024-12-12status Pending
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2024-12-05$20,000 Active
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2024-12-02status Active
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2024-11-25soldstatus Closed
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2024-11-18status Pending
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2024-11-18status Pending
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2024-11-07$15,000 Active
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2024-10-30$23,500 Active
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2024-10-02soldstatus Closed
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2024-09-27soldstatus Closed
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2024-09-20price $2,000
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2024-09-20soldstatus Closed
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2024-09-20soldstatus Closed
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2024-09-06soldstatus Closed
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2024-09-05historical
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2024-09-05historical
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2024-09-05historical
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2024-09-05soldstatus Closed
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2024-09-04$20,000
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2024-09-04$20,000
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2024-09-04$20,000
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2024-09-01status Pending
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2024-08-29status Pending
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2024-08-22price $30,000
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2024-08-16status Pending
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2024-08-12$35,000 Active
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2024-08-06price $19,500
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2024-07-25price $25,000
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2024-07-25price $25,000
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2024-07-12$30,000 Active
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2024-07-12$30,000 Active
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2022-10-20price $30,000
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2022-09-24$35,000 Active
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2000-05-24soldstatus
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2000-04-05$14,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,744
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,120
- − Property taxes
- −$300
- − Insurance
- −$100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,020
- − Management
- −$1,020
- − HOA
- −$6,300
- − Depreciation
- −$582
- Taxable income
- $2,303
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$553
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,556/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocatello District
- NCES district ID
- 1602640
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,478
- Composite
- 43.46/100
- National rank
- #3003
- State rank
- #26 of 92 in ID
Livability — Pocatello
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #758
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pocatello, ID
- County
- Bannock County · 82,995 people
- City population
- 58,482
- Metro
- Pocatello, ID
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,902
- Household income
- $66,357
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1417.0
Population outlook (Bannock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 86,173 people
- By 2030
- 86,575 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 86,235 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 86,090 · -0.1%
- By 2075
- 85,032 · -1.3%
- By 2100
- 85,103 · -1.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 6% Asian 3% Black 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Italian 4% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bannock
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.1) · D 35.8% · R 60.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.0pp · 2024: -25.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.1 2020: R+21.9 2016: R+20.5 2012: R+22.1 2008: R+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -183.96%
- Current HPI
- 229.6427
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.37%
- Metro
- Pocatello, ID
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $79B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $25B |
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $6B |
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Price history
+37.9% since first listed50 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Delisted — PCTMLS
- 2026-05-22 Listed $20,000 PCTMLS
- 2026-05-22 Sold (MLS) — PCTMLS
- 2026-05-14 Pending — PCTMLS
- 2026-04-15 Sold (MLS) — PCTMLS
- 2026-04-02 Pending — PCTMLS
- 2026-03-28 Listed $20,000 PCTMLS
- 2026-03-28 Listed $20,000 PCTMLS
- 2025-09-17 Sold (MLS) — PCTMLS
- 2025-09-09 Listed $30,000 PCTMLS
- 2025-09-09 Delisted — PCTMLS
- 2025-06-09 Listed $5,000 PCTMLS
- 2025-01-10 Sold (MLS) — PCTMLS
- 2025-01-10 Sold (MLS) — PCTMLS
- 2024-12-12 Pending — PCTMLS
- 2024-12-12 Pending — PCTMLS
- 2024-12-05 Listed $20,000 PCTMLS
- 2024-12-02 Relisted — PCTMLS
- 2024-11-25 Sold (MLS) — PCTMLS
- 2024-11-18 Pending — PCTMLS
- 2024-11-18 Pending — PCTMLS
- 2024-11-07 Listed $15,000 PCTMLS
- 2024-10-30 Listed $23,500 PCTMLS
- 2024-10-02 Sold (MLS) — PCTMLS
- 2024-09-27 Sold (MLS) — PCTMLS
- 2024-09-20 Price Changed $2,000 PCTMLS
- 2024-09-20 Sold (MLS) — PCTMLS
- 2024-09-20 Sold (MLS) — PCTMLS
- 2024-09-06 Sold (MLS) — PCTMLS
- 2024-09-05 Sold (MLS) — PCTMLS
- 2024-09-05 Delisted — PCTMLS
- 2024-09-05 Delisted — PCTMLS
- 2024-09-05 Delisted — PCTMLS
- 2024-09-04 Listed $20,000 PCTMLS
- 2024-09-04 Listed $20,000 PCTMLS
- 2024-09-04 Listed $20,000 PCTMLS
- 2024-09-01 Pending — PCTMLS
- 2024-08-29 Pending — PCTMLS
- 2024-08-22 Price Changed $30,000 PCTMLS
- 2024-08-16 Pending — PCTMLS
- 2024-08-12 Listed $35,000 PCTMLS
- 2024-08-06 Price Changed $19,500 PCTMLS
- 2024-07-25 Price Changed $25,000 PCTMLS
- 2024-07-25 Price Changed $25,000 PCTMLS
- 2024-07-12 Listed $30,000 PCTMLS
- 2024-07-12 Listed $30,000 PCTMLS
- 2022-10-20 Price Changed $30,000 PCTMLS
- 2022-09-24 Listed $35,000 PCTMLS
- 2000-05-24 Sold (MLS) — SRMLS
- 2000-04-05 Listed $14,500 SRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…