36 bd · 36.0 ba ·
2,631 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$22,213/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,817
Tax + insurance
−$1,621
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$4,665
Net cashflow
$9,110/mo
Annual
$109,322/yr
Cap rate
14.70%
Cash-on-cash
30.04%
DSCR
2.34
1% rule
1.71%
Cash to close
$363,972
Investor read
This is a 6 × 6-bed/6.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.30M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($109k/yr) — positive. Per door: $2k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($22k rent vs $1.30M).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.26M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.26M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $39k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#45 in NJ, #1,151 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Red Bank Regional School District (suburban): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #143 of 472 in NJ (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Red Bank Primary School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,124 of 1,303 statewide, top 88%, 591 students, 78% FRL); Red Bank Middle School (math 12% / reading 30%, grade F, #387 of 431 statewide, top 90%, 601 students, 79% FRL); Red Bank Regional High School (math 34% / reading 49%, grade F, #177 of 399 statewide, top 45%, 1,195 students, 29% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Red Bank Regional School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 2,840 units permitted in Monmouth County in 2024 (484 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monmouth County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $290k; list at $1.30M implies a 348% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $364k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29