3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,677 sqft ·
Built 1958
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,232/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$813
Tax + insurance
−$121
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$259
Net cashflow
$39/mo
Annual
$472/yr
Cap rate
6.60%
Cash-on-cash
1.09%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$43,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($472/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (20.5% below list).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (20.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#288 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Decatur County (rural): math 45% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #19 of 139 in TN (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Parsons Elementary (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #119 of 952 statewide, top 14%, 376 students, 0% FRL); Decatur County Middle School (math 48% / reading 28%, grade F, #51 of 333 statewide, top 16%, 426 students, 0% FRL); Riverside High School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #104 of 332 statewide, top 33%, 460 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 50% district-wide (50 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Decatur County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Decatur County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29