3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,008 sqft ·
Built 1981
· Manufactured
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$786/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$624
Tax + insurance
−$86
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$165
Net cashflow
$-89/mo
Annual
$-1,071/yr
Cap rate
5.39%
Cash-on-cash
-3.21%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$33,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $119k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-89 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $103k (13.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $79k (33.9% below list).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $79k (33.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (6.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Dillon 04 (town): math 14% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #72 of 80 in SC (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Dillon Middle (math 10% / reading 22%, grade F, #196 of 229 statewide, top 87%, 666 students, 100% FRL); Dillon High (math 12% / reading 67%, grade F, #180 of 196 statewide, top 93%, 869 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 83% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 41 units permitted in Dillon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dillon County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $55k; list at $119k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T9GKCM5309J90Z
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29