4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,421 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 89 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,897/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$781
Tax + insurance
−$601
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$398
Net cashflow
$116/mo
Annual
$1,397/yr
Cap rate
7.23%
Cash-on-cash
3.35%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
1.27%
Cash to close
$41,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $149k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $116 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $140k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $361 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-669 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
South San Antonio ISD (urban): math 13% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #804 of 826 in TX (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Palo Alto El (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #4,048 of 4,322 statewide, top 95%, 429 students, 95% FRL); South San Antonio H S (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,632 statewide, top 70%, 1,786 students, 93% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 42% district-wide (52 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price.
Market conditions: 162 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29