2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,176 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 103 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,698/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,162
Tax + insurance
−$369
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$566
Net cashflow
$600/mo
Annual
$7,202/yr
Cap rate
9.54%
Cash-on-cash
11.61%
DSCR
1.52
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$62,024
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $222k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $600 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $222k).
It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $202k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#61 in VA, #1,742 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Roanoke County Public School District (suburban): math 71% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #9 of 131 in VA (top 7%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Herman L. Horn Elementary (math 57% / reading 72%, grade B, #416 of 1,108 statewide, top 41%, 407 students, 72% FRL); William Byrd Middle (math 68% / reading 74%, grade A, #77 of 342 statewide, top 23%, 827 students, 42% FRL); William Byrd High (math 77% / reading 89%, grade A, #33 of 319 statewide, top 11%, 1,142 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 51% FRL vs 22% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 160 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 360 units permitted in Roanoke County in 2024 (228 in 5+ unit buildings).
Roanoke County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 4.8% in Vinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-T9J799AND9HF4T
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29