2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
672 sqft ·
Built 1965
· Manufactured
· Active
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,220/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$209
Tax + insurance
−$66
HOA
−$835
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$256
Net cashflow
$-147/mo
Annual
$-1,764/yr
Cap rate
1.87%
Cash-on-cash
-15.79%
DSCR
0.30
1% rule
3.06%
Cash to close
$11,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-147 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $19k (53.3% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $19k (53.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#57 in UT, #3,560 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F, health & safety F.
Davis District (suburban): math 43% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #28 of 80 in UT (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Woods Cross School (math 39% / reading 43%, grade F, #315 of 585 statewide, top 55%, 496 students, 24% FRL); South Davis Jr High (math 31% / reading 37%, grade F, #97 of 138 statewide, top 70%, 1,095 students, 25% FRL); Woods Cross High (math 36% / reading 47%, grade F, #57 of 171 statewide, top 34%, 1,567 students, 16% FRL) — zoned schools at 21% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 68% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,461 units permitted in Davis County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davis County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
This rent is only 14% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 53% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29