3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
984 sqft ·
Built 1933
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$971/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$87
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$204
Net cashflow
$313/mo
Annual
$3,761/yr
Cap rate
11.67%
Cash-on-cash
19.21%
DSCR
1.85
1% rule
1.39%
Cash to close
$19,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $313 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($971 rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#143 in MI, #3,663 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Ontonagon Area School District (rural): math 25% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #474 of 760 in MI (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1933 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Ontonagon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ontonagon County population projected at -63% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1933 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TA6TPZ80YKJKQ3
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29