3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,100 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 285 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$949/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$420
Tax + insurance
−$78
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$199
Net cashflow
$253/mo
Annual
$3,033/yr
Cap rate
10.08%
Cash-on-cash
13.54%
DSCR
1.60
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$22,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $253 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($949 rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 285 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#145 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Acadia Parish (rural): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #28 of 98 in LA (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Ross Elementary School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #550 of 646 statewide, top 88%, 259 students, 90% FRL); Crowley Middle School (math 9% / reading 17%, grade F, #189 of 218 statewide, top 87%, 449 students, 83% FRL); Crowley High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #153 of 265 statewide, top 62%, 536 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 62% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 17% at this address vs 38% district-wide (-21 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Acadia Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 137 units permitted in Acadia Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.5% in Crowley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 285 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TAP3H15VN1AB1N
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29