130 Mckinley Drive Dr

Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance), GA 30601

$314,990F

4 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · Built 2026 · SingleFamily · Active · 10 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,057/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,652
• Tax + insurance: −$257
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$432
• Net cashflow: $-284/mo
• Annual: $-3,409/yr
• Cap rate: 5.21%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.87%
• DSCR: 0.83
• 1% rule: 0.65%
• Cash to close: $88,197

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $315k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-284 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $265k (15.9% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (34.7% below list).
• Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Recommended offer: $206k (34.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Clarke County (urban): math 17% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #146 of 174 in GA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Gaines Elementary School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,125 of 1,228 statewide, top 93%, 518 students, 83% FRL); Hilsman Middle School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #381 of 470 statewide, top 82%, 628 students, 83% FRL); Cedar Shoals High School (1,443 students, 83% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,172 units permitted in Clarke County in 2024 (876 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Clarke County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 7 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $45k; list at $315k implies a 600% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.3% in Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $2,057/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 3108% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.