130 Mckinley Drive Dr · Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance), GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.4/30.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.3/10.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$314,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to modern comfort and timeless style! This 4-bed, 3-bath NEW CONSTRUCTION home invites you in with a gorgeous covered front porch and a stunning two-story foyer that sets the tone from the moment you enter. Enjoy a bright, open-concept layout featuring 100% LVP flooring, sleek stainless-steel appliances, and clean, contemporary finishes throughout. The main-level primary suite offers the perfect escape with a spacious walk-in closet and private bath, perfect for those seeking comfort and convenience on the main floor. Upstairs, you'll find a dedicated laundry room, generously sized secondary bedrooms, and a well-appointed bath with a double vanity-ideal for busy mornings and multiple people. Walk outside to find a back patio within a wooden fenced-in backyard that can be transformed into your very own peaceful refuge. Located in the Classic City, this home is perfectly situated within only 3 miles from UGA and Downtown. Homes like this move fast--schedule your showing today and claim this stunning new construction as your forever home!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Two story foyer
- Open concept layout
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; 2-story home; Residential property
- Construction: HardiPlank-type siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Home warranty included
- Exterior features: Patio; Front porch; Privacy wood fencing; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 2 bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating with electric heat pump; Central cooling with electric heat pump
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Entrance foyer; High ceilings; Pantry
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup on the upper level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $315k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-284 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $265k (15.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (34.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $206k (34.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.3% in Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Clarke County (urban): math 17% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #146 of 174 in GA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,172 units permitted in Clarke County in 2024 (876 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,057/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 3108% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clarke County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $315k implies a 600% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.87%
- DSCR
- 0.83
- GRM
- 12.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $223,680
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 549 N Peter St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 905 (-6%) | 9mo | $131,000 | $145 | 65 |
| 375 Martin Cir | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (+8%) | 5mo | $110,000 | $106 | 55 |
| 303 Martin Cir | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-6%) | 12mo | $167,000 | $186 | 54 |
| 120 Cone Dr | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,053 (+10%) | 11mo | $230,000 | $218 | 52 |
| 150 Royal Ct | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,000 (+4%) | 2mo | $310,000 | $310 | 51 |
| 360 Cook Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 900 (-6%) | 6mo | $230,000 | $256 | 45 |
| 123 Martin Ct | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,100 (+15%) | 8mo | $25,990 | $24 | 42 |
| 330 Washington Dr | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-6%) | 11mo | $185,000 | $206 | 42 |
| 185 Royal Ct | 0.72mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 888 (-8%) | 0mo | $245,000 | $276 | 41 |
| 60 S Dublin St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 996 (+4%) | 23mo | $232,500 | $233 | 37 |
| 364 Washington Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,100 (+15%) | 11mo | $260,000 | $236 | 25 |
| 360 Washington Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,100 (+15%) | 11mo | $257,000 | $234 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.86% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-67,473
- Equity at exit
- $46,966
- IRR
- -14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.15×
- Total profit
- $-75,099
- Equity at exit
- $27,235
Cash invested: $88,197 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30601
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 12.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,057 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,652
- Tax from tax record
- −$126 /mo · $1,510/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$432
- Net cashflow
- $-284
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-106 | -5% $-195 | +0% $-284 | +5% $-373 | +10% $-462 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-447 | -5% $-365 | +0% $-284 | +5% $-203 | +10% $-122 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-125 | -0.5pp $-204 | base $-284 | +0.5pp $-366 | +1.0pp $-449 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,748
- Closing costs
- $9,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 Oak Hill Dr Athens, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1097 | $1,809 | $1.65 | 14d | 13 | 1.04mi |
| 198 Old Hull Rd Athens, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 926 | $1,299 | $1.40 | 14d | 5 | 1.05mi |
| 160 Indiana Ave Athens, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1050 | $1,950 | $1.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $314,990 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $314,990 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $314,990 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $314,990 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $314,990 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $314,990 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$314,990 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,510 · $126/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,898 · $241/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,388/yr (+$116/mo · 91.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,681
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,644
- − Property taxes
- −$1,510
- − Insurance
- −$1,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,974
- − Management
- −$1,974
- − Depreciation
- −$9,163
- Taxable loss
- −$9,160
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,198
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,210/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clarke County
- NCES district ID
- 1301170
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,649
- Composite
- 15.51/100
- National rank
- #9302
- State rank
- #146 of 174 in GA
Livability — Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance), GA
- County
- Clarke County · 126,008 people
- City population
- 119,110
- Metro
- Athens-Clarke County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,899
- Household income
- $39,219
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3108.0
Population outlook (Clarke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 141,365 people
- By 2030
- 151,724 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 168,541 · +19.2%
- By 2050
- 184,855 · +30.8%
- By 2075
- 221,736 · +56.9%
- By 2100
- 253,853 · +79.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 35% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 12% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clarke
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.3) · D 68.6% · R 30.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.0pp toward D · 2008: 31.3pp · 2024: 38.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.3 2020: D+42.1 2016: D+38.0 2012: D+28.9 2008: D+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -274.32%
- Current HPI
- 280.2956
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.86%
- Metro
- Athens-Clarke County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+2410.9% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $314,990 GAMLS
- 2026-06-10 Listed $314,990 Hive MLS
- 2025-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2025-05-08 Sold (MLS) $45,000 GAMLS
- 2025-05-08 Sold (MLS) $45,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-05-07 Pending — GAMLS
- 2025-05-04 Contingent — GAMLS
- 2025-04-15 Price Changed $65,000 GAMLS
- 2025-03-26 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2025-03-26 Price Changed $75,000 GAMLS
- 2025-03-07 Contingent — GAMLS
- 2025-03-06 Price Changed $100,000 GAMLS
- 2025-03-02 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2025-03-02 Price Changed $115,000 GAMLS
- 2024-12-17 Contingent — GAMLS
- 2024-12-16 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2024-12-06 Contingent — GAMLS
- 2024-09-17 Listed $169,000 GAMLS
- 2024-09-12 Listed $65,000 Hive MLS
- 1989-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $12,545 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,510 · +18.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…