320-324 Athol Ave

Oakland, CA 94606

$945,000B

24 bd · 20.0 ba · 3,745 sqft · Built 1915 · MultiFamily · Active · 149 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $13,952/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$4,956
• Tax + insurance: −$1,575
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$2,930
• Net cashflow: $4,491/mo
• Annual: $53,897/yr
• Cap rate: 12.00%
• Cash-on-cash: 20.37%
• DSCR: 1.91
• 1% rule: 1.48%
• Cash to close: $264,600

Investor read

• This is a 4 × 6-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $945k. Condition is rated fair.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($54k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($14k rent vs $945k).
• It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($832k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $832k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Cleveland Elementary (371 students, 51% FRL); Edna Brewer Middle (781 students, 53% FRL); Oakland High (1,531 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
• Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 71% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $150k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $265k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 2.5% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $3,488/mo per unit this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
• Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Major: exterior siding — Significant wear and ivy growth
• Major: bathroom fixtures — Dated and worn
• Major: flooring — Worn and in need of replacement