24 bd · 20.0 ba ·
3,745 sqft ·
Built 1915
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 127 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$13,306/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,956
Tax + insurance
−$1,575
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,794
Net cashflow
$3,981/mo
Annual
$47,773/yr
Cap rate
11.35%
Cash-on-cash
18.05%
DSCR
1.80
1% rule
1.41%
Cash to close
$264,600
Investor read
This is a 4 × 6-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $945k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($48k/yr) — positive. Per door: $995/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $945k).
It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($832k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $832k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Cleveland Elementary (371 students, 51% FRL); Edna Brewer Middle (781 students, 53% FRL); Oakland High (1,531 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 157 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 54d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $150k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $265k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 2.5% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,326/mo per unit this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant wear and ivy growth
Major: bathroom fixtures
— Dated and worn
Major: flooring
— Worn and in need of replacement
CashFlowRE · CFR-TAR7NBET47ZGHJ
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29