2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
603 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 279 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$963/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$309
Tax + insurance
−$98
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$202
Net cashflow
$353/mo
Annual
$4,233/yr
Cap rate
13.47%
Cash-on-cash
25.63%
DSCR
2.14
1% rule
1.63%
Cash to close
$16,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $353 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($963 rent vs $59k).
It's been on market 279 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,103 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Whitehall Central School District (rural): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #530 of 590 in NY (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 106 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 6.3% in Whitehall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 279 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— Exposed plumbing and missing cabinets
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— Exposed plumbing and missing fixtures
Minor: Landscaping
— Overgrown vegetation
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· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29