37 1/2 West St · Whitehall, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2-Bed Cottage - Major Upgrades Done! Solid and refreshed, Welcome to this cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath home tucked back and private! Enjoy the peace of mind that comes with a brand-new roof and a new electric heating system. Needs kitchen cabinets and ready for your final touches. Shared driveway
Key facts
- Brand new roof
- Private lil yard
- 2,178 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $353 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($963 rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 6.3% in Whitehall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,103 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Whitehall Central School District (rural): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #530 of 590 in NY (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 106 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Washington County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 279 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 279 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.63%
- DSCR
- 2.14
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $165,348
- List price
- $59,000
- Delta
- -64.32%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 First Ave | 0.69mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 560 (-7%) | 10mo | $65,000 | $116 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.31×
- Total profit
- $54,616
- Equity at exit
- $53,152
- IRR
- 37.7%
- Equity multiple
- 9.67×
- Total profit
- $143,196
- Equity at exit
- $114,624
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12887
- Active inventory
- 41
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $963 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$74 /mo · $885/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$202
- Net cashflow
- $353
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $394 | -5% $373 | +0% $353 | +5% $332 | +10% $312 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $277 | -5% $315 | +0% $353 | +5% $391 | +10% $429 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $382 | -0.5pp $368 | base $353 | +0.5pp $337 | +1.0pp $322 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $59,000 Active 279 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $59,000 Active 277 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $59,000 Active 276 DOM
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2026-06-17price $59,000 Active 275 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $60,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 267 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 266 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 265 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $60,000 Active 262 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active 261 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active 260 DOM
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2026-05-31remarks 342-char remark
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2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 259 DOM
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2025-12-17price $62,000 304-char remark
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
Charming 2-Bed Cottage - Major Upgrades Done! Solid and refreshed, Welcome to this cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath home tucked back and private! Enjoy the peace of mind that comes with a brand-new roof and a new electric heating system. Needs kitchen cabinets and ready for your final touches. Shared driveway
-
2025-10-13price $61,000 304-char remark
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
Charming 2-Bed Cottage - Major Upgrades Done! Solid and refreshed, Welcome to this cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath home tucked back and private! Enjoy the peace of mind that comes with a brand-new roof and a new electric heating system. Needs kitchen cabinets and ready for your final touches. Shared driveway
-
2025-09-14$62,000 Active 304-char remark
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
Charming 2-Bed Cottage - Major Upgrades Done! Solid and refreshed, Welcome to this cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath home tucked back and private! Enjoy the peace of mind that comes with a brand-new roof and a new electric heating system. Needs kitchen cabinets and ready for your final touches. Shared driveway
-
2025-09-06historical
-
2025-08-27$65,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,552
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$885
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$924
- − Management
- −$924
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $3,503
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$841
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,393/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos
This 2-bedroom cottage requires moderate renovations, focusing on kitchen and bathroom updates, and landscaping to enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen cabinets — Exposed plumbing and missing cabinets
- Major Bathroom fixtures — Exposed plumbing and missing fixtures
- Minor Landscaping — Overgrown vegetation
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Kitchen cabinets — Modern kitchen cabinets improve aesthetics and functionality
- Resale Bathroom fixtures — Complete bathroom with fixtures enhances appeal
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Exposed plumbing and missing cabinets | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Exposed plumbing and missing fixtures | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Landscaping · Overgrown vegetation | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $30,500–103,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Kitchen cabinets — Modern kitchen cabinets improve aesthetics and functionality ↑
- Resale Bathroom fixtures — Complete bathroom with fixtures enhances appeal ↑
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Whitehall Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3631290
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,563
- Composite
- 33.4/100
- National rank
- #5477
- State rank
- #530 of 590 in NY
Livability — Whitehall
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1103
- US rank
- #22538
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Whitehall, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,629
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,576 people
- By 2030
- 57,618 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 52,751 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 47,514 · -20.2%
- By 2075
- 35,690 · -40.1%
- By 2100
- 24,807 · -58.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Polish 5% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.2) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.0pp toward R · 2008: 0.8pp · 2024: -21.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+20.2 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+0.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 122.64%
- Current HPI
- 354.5975
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-4.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-17 Price Changed $62,000 Global MLS
- 2025-10-13 Price Changed $61,000 Global MLS
- 2025-09-14 Listed $62,000 Global MLS
- 2025-09-06 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2025-08-27 Listed $65,000 Global MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…