63 bd · 49.0 ba ·
5,130 sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 64 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$9,927/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,194
Tax + insurance
−$1,015
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,085
Net cashflow
$3,634/mo
Annual
$43,604/yr
Cap rate
13.45%
Cash-on-cash
25.57%
DSCR
2.14
1% rule
1.63%
Cash to close
$170,520
Investor read
This is a 7 × 9-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $609k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($44k/yr) — positive. Per door: $519/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $609k).
It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($572k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $572k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#520 in PA, #4,791 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, commute F, employment D-.
Greater Nanticoke Area SD (suburban): math 14% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #479 of 539 in PA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
7 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask is 64005% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $90k; list at $609k implies a 577% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $171k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 6.3% in Nanticoke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TCES164G2NRS3N
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29