4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,874 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 454 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,764/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,757
Tax + insurance
−$558
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$581
Net cashflow
$-131/mo
Annual
$-1,572/yr
Cap rate
5.82%
Cash-on-cash
-1.68%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$93,786
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $335k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-131 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $316k (5.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $276k (17.5% below list).
It's been on market 454 days — a 12% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $276k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-2.4%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#699 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A, cost of living A-, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment D-.
Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 674 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $665k (67%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.5% in Wimauma — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 454 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TCR8KK0JCT3SY7
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29