594 bd · 506.0 ba ·
12,205 sqft ·
Built 1911
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 137 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$54,514/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$22,523
Tax + insurance
−$5,197
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$11,448
Net cashflow
$15,346/mo
Annual
$184,146/yr
Cap rate
10.58%
Cash-on-cash
15.31%
DSCR
1.68
1% rule
1.27%
Cash to close
$1,202,600
Investor read
This is a 22 × 27-bed/23.0-bath units multifamily listed at $4.29M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $15k ($184k/yr) — positive. Per door: $698/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($55k rent vs $4.29M).
It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($3.78M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $3.78M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $30k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $129k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#166 in WA, #4,033 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Seattle Public Schools (urban): math 64% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #19 of 291 in WA (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 200 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $918k; list at $4.29M implies a 368% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $1.20M cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 1.6% in Seattle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $54,514/mo this rent would consume 675% of the median local household income ($97k/yr) (locally 1780% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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