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1815 13th Ave S 22-Plex
B- Composite 69.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.5/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$4,295,000

1815 13th Ave S · Seattle, WA 98144
594 bd · 506.0 ba · 12,205 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 137 Days on market
Built 1911 7,200 sqft lot $352/sqft · 54% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 22 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

The property reflects true pride of ownership, with extensive upgrades completed in recent years. Improvements include full replacement of in-unit wiring and plumbing, along with comprehensive kitchen and bathroom remodels, ensuring modern comfort, durability, and reduced future capital needs. With an average unit size of 560 SF, the building offers efficient layouts that remain highly competitive in the Beacon Hill rental market. Offering a desirable and efficient unit mix of two studios, thirteen one-bedrooms, and seven two-bedrooms, this 22-unit asset delivers broad renter appeal and strong operational fundamentals. Residents benefit from close proximity to local amenities, outdoor recre

Key facts

  • Outdoor recreation
  • Efficient layouts
  • Extensive upgrades

Tags

EXTENSIVE UPGRADESFULL REPLACEMENT OF PLUMBINGCOMPREHENSIVE KITCHEN REMODELSEFFICIENT LAYOUTSOUTDOOR RECREATIONTRANSIT ACCESS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 22 × 27-bed/23.0-bath units multifamily listed at $4.29M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $15k ($184k/yr) — positive. Per door: $698/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($55k rent vs $4.29M).
  • Recommended offer: $3.78M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 1.6% in Seattle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#166 in WA, #4,033 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Seattle Public Schools (urban): math 64% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #19 of 291 in WA (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 200 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $54,514/mo this rent would consume 675% of the median local household income ($97k/yr) (locally 1780% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $30k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $129k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $1.20M cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($3.78M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $918k; list at $4.29M implies a 368% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $3,779,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
10.58%
Cash-on-cash
15.31%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$2,762,332
List price
$4,295,000
Delta
55.48%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.8%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$222,396
Equity at exit
$640,398
10-year hold
IRR
13.3%
Equity multiple
2.01×
Total profit
$1,215,289
Equity at exit
$371,353

Cash invested: $1,202,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City Seattle
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+52
Just Cause + Relocation Assistance + Source of Income + First in Time.

ZIP-level market 98144

Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
200
Price-to-rent
144.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$54,514 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$22,523
Tax from tax record
$3,408 /mo · $40,890/yr
Insurance
$1,790
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$11,448
Net cashflow
$15,346

Break-even live

Break-even rent $35,089
Max offer price $4,295,000
Occupancy floor 67%

22-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (22 units) $54,514

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,073,750
Closing costs
$128,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $4,295,000 Active 137 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $4,295,000 Active 136 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $4,295,000 Active 135 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $4,295,000 Active 134 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $4,295,000 Active 133 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $4,295,000 Active 132 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $4,295,000 Active 131 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $4,295,000 Active 130 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $4,295,000 Active 128 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $4,295,000 Active 127 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $4,295,000 Active 126 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $4,295,000 Active 125 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $4,295,000 Active 124 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $4,295,000 Active 122 DOM
  15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $4,295,000 Active 121 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $4,295,000 Active 120 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $4,295,000 Active 119 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $4,295,000 Active 118 DOM
  19. 2026-03-10
    price $4,295,000
  20. 2026-02-02
    listed $4,895,000 Active
  21. 1999-12-15
    soldstatus $917,800
  22. 1989-11-08
    soldstatus $450,000
  23. 1985-07-26
    soldstatus $465,000
  24. 1984-03-30
    soldstatus $345,000
  25. 1979-07-09
    soldstatus $320,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$40,890 · $3,408/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$42,091 · $3,508/mo
Expected delta
+$1,201/yr (+$100/mo · 2.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥86°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$654,168
− Mortgage interest
−$240,587
− Property taxes
−$40,890
− Insurance
−$21,475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$52,333
− Management
−$52,333
− Depreciation
−$124,945
Taxable income
$121,604
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$29,185
After-tax cash flow
$154,961/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Seattle Public Schools
NCES district ID
5307710
Math proficiency
64% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$68,695
Composite
60.76/100
National rank
#1649
State rank
#19 of 291 in WA

Livability — Seattle

Score
75/100
State rank
#166
US rank
#4033

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Seattle, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
706,262
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
33,787
Household income
$96,969
Rent vs Own
54.5% rent · 45.5% own
Severe rent burden
1780.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
White 45% Asian 19% Two or more races 13% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 8% Chinese 7% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1662.88%
Current HPI
296.7568
Rent YoY
▲ 1.92%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1242.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $4,295,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $4,895,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $917,800 Public Records
  • 1989-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $450,000 Public Records
  • 1985-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $465,000 Public Records
  • 1984-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $345,000 Public Records
  • 1979-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $320,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $40,890 · -5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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