2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
848 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 75 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$858/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$166
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$180
Net cashflow
$-13/mo
Annual
$-151/yr
Cap rate
6.14%
Cash-on-cash
-0.54%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$27,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-151/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $98k (1.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $86k (14.1% below list).
It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $86k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (7.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#106 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Santa Fe R-X (rural): math 30% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #302 of 535 in MO (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 112 units permitted in Lafayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lafayette County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (7.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TEDZD2BJP6VCGA
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29