113 E Marshall St · Alma, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- Appreciation +8.6/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This beautifully updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath starter home is move-in ready and packed with updated features! Enjoy peace of mind with a brand-new roof, new plumbing, new electrical, new siding, new flooring & subfloor, ensuring efficiency and reliability for years to come. The cozy interior boasts bright, inviting spaces, while the functional kitchen offers convenience and a retro sense of charm. Step outside to the new covered patio, perfect for relaxing or entertaining in any weather. Nestled in a quiet neighborhood with a manageable corner yard, this home is a wonderful choice for first-time buyers or those looking to downsize without sacrificing comfort and style.
Key facts
- New covered patio
- New plumbing
- New siding
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-151/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $98k (1.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $86k (14.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $86k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#106 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Santa Fe R-X (rural): math 30% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #302 of 535 in MO (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 112 units permitted in Lafayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (7.2% local appreciation)).
- Lafayette County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (7.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.54%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $132,532
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- -24.62%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206 W Clara Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 892 (+5%) | 14mo | $139,000 | $156 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.23% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $35,526
- Equity at exit
- $70,748
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.71×
- Total profit
- $103,763
- Equity at exit
- $135,788
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64001
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $858 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$180
- Net cashflow
- $-13
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 58 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-05-09price $99,900 680-char remark
Show marketing remark (680 chars)
This beautifully updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath starter home is move-in ready and packed with updated features! Enjoy peace of mind with a brand-new roof, new plumbing, new electrical, new siding, new flooring & subfloor, ensuring efficiency and reliability for years to come. The cozy interior boasts bright, inviting spaces, while the functional kitchen offers convenience and a retro sense of charm. Step outside to the new covered patio, perfect for relaxing or entertaining in any weather. Nestled in a quiet neighborhood with a manageable corner yard, this home is a wonderful choice for first-time buyers or those looking to downsize without sacrificing comfort and style.
-
2026-04-04$110,000 Active 680-char remark
Show marketing remark (680 chars)
This beautifully updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath starter home is move-in ready and packed with updated features! Enjoy peace of mind with a brand-new roof, new plumbing, new electrical, new siding, new flooring & subfloor, ensuring efficiency and reliability for years to come. The cozy interior boasts bright, inviting spaces, while the functional kitchen offers convenience and a retro sense of charm. Step outside to the new covered patio, perfect for relaxing or entertaining in any weather. Nestled in a quiet neighborhood with a manageable corner yard, this home is a wonderful choice for first-time buyers or those looking to downsize without sacrificing comfort and style.
-
2025-09-26historical
-
2025-06-18price $100,000
-
2025-06-03$114,900 Active
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2024-03-28soldstatus Closed
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2024-03-20status Pending
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2024-02-28historical Active Under Contract
-
2024-02-11$49,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,296
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,498
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$824
- − Management
- −$824
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable loss
- −$1,851
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$444
- After-tax cash flow
- $294/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in ready home features updated interiors and exteriors, making it an attractive option for both buyers and renters.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Reorganizing and updating kitchen appliances — Improves functionality and appeal for both buyers and renters.
- Both Landscaping and adding outdoor furniture — Enhances curb appeal and provides a welcoming outdoor space for potential buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Reorganizing and updating kitchen appliances — Improves functionality and appeal for both buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping and adding outdoor furniture — Enhances curb appeal and provides a welcoming outdoor space for potential buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Santa Fe R-X
- NCES district ID
- 2903000
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,204
- Composite
- 36.52/100
- National rank
- #9304
- State rank
- #302 of 535 in MO
Livability — Alma
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #106
- US rank
- #6979
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alma, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 915
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,118 people
- By 2030
- 29,993 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 27,436 · -11.8%
- By 2050
- 24,585 · -21.0%
- By 2075
- 18,426 · -40.8%
- By 2100
- 12,897 · -58.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Asian 12% Black 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · China
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.9) · D 24.9% · R 73.8% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.6pp toward R · 2008: -15.3pp · 2024: -48.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.9 2020: R+45.7 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.23%
- Current HPI
- 292.1883
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+101.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $99,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-04 Listed $110,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-26 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-18 Price Changed $100,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-03 Listed $114,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-28 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-20 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-28 Contingent — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-11 Listed $49,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…