4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
3,082 sqft ·
Built 1959
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 138 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,073/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$416
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$435
Net cashflow
$-90/mo
Annual
$-1,076/yr
Cap rate
5.86%
Cash-on-cash
-1.54%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$69,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $250k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-90 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $237k (5.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (17.1% below list).
It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $207k (17.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Austin El (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,333 of 4,322 statewide, top 80%, 355 students, 79% FRL); Lone Star Middle (math 28% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 903 students, 63% FRL); Central H S (math 22% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,029 of 1,632 statewide, top 64%, 3,065 students, 48% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 334 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior paint
— Blue exterior paint is peeling
Major: interior paint
— Painted walls are chipping
Major: flooring
— Carpeted floors are worn
CashFlowRE · CFR-TETNDM1WW2E32H
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29