2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,566 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,044/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$157
Tax + insurance
−$76
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$219
Net cashflow
$591/mo
Annual
$7,093/yr
Cap rate
30.02%
Cash-on-cash
84.73%
DSCR
4.77
1% rule
3.49%
Cash to close
$8,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $591 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (6.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#195 in IA, #3,572 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Panorama Community School District (rural): math 70% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #146 of 289 in IA (top 50%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Panorama Elementary (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B, #363 of 616 statewide, top 62%, 317 students, 41% FRL); Panorama Middle School (math 82% / reading 72%, grade A, #52 of 246 statewide, top 22%, 161 students, 39% FRL); Panorama High School (math 67% / reading 72%, grade B, #152 of 336 statewide, top 52%, 213 students, 35% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 21 units permitted in Guthrie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Guthrie County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (6.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TFD20Z29QFQ9ZS
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29