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A- Composite 80.42
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$29,900

210 NE 3rd St · Panora, IA 50216
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,566 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 40 Days on market
Built 1900 0.28 ac lot $19/sqft · 85% below area ↓ 43% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Location, location, location! Have you been waiting for an investment property in the absolute perfect location? You found it! This home is located in the heart of the Panora community. Come take a look today!

Key facts

  • 0.28 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1900

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached one-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Vinyl-sided exterior; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Concrete road frontage; Residential zoning

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: One 3/4 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heating: see remarks
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; One fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $591 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#195 in IA, #3,572 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Panorama Community School District (rural): math 70% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #146 of 289 in IA (top 50%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 21 units permitted in Guthrie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (6.4% local appreciation)).
  • Guthrie County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $29,003 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.49%
Cap rate
30.02%
Cash-on-cash
84.73%
DSCR
4.77
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$195,585
List price
$29,900
Delta
-84.71%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
109 E Jackson St 0.28mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,515 (-3%) 1mo $196,000 $129 74
312 E Church St 0.23mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,452 (-7%) 11mo $240,000 $165 59
413 W Church St 0.45mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,541 (-2%) 11mo $214,000 $139 58
318 N 1st St 0.18mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,404 (-10%) 11mo $147,500 $105 56
804 E Main St 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,725 (+10%) 1mo $90,000 $52 56
206 SE 8th St 0.47mi 2/2.0 1,494 (-5%) 17mo $172,000 $115 53
503 W Clay St 0.48mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (-4%) 17mo $410,000 $273 47
102 W Jackson St 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,728 (+10%) 13mo $240,000 $139 47
200 SE 7th St 0.39mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (-14%) 4mo $250,000 $186 46
110 W Jackson St 0.34mi 2/3.0 1,388 (-11%) 14mo $233,000 $168 46
404 W Jackson St 0.48mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,432 (-9%) 18mo $180,000 $126 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
91.5%
Equity multiple
6.61×
Total profit
$46,995
Equity at exit
$19,522
10-year hold
IRR
88.9%
Equity multiple
13.98×
Total profit
$108,654
Equity at exit
$36,045

Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50216

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
81
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,044 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $768/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$219
Net cashflow
$591

Break-even live

Break-even rent $295
Max offer price $29,900
Occupancy floor 38%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $608 -5% $600 +0% $591 +5% $583 +10% $574
Rent -10% $509 -5% $550 +0% $591 +5% $632 +10% $674
Rate -1.0pp $606 -0.5pp $599 base $591 +0.5pp $583 +1.0pp $575

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,475
Closing costs
$897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $29,900 Pending 40 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $29,900 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $29,900 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $29,900 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $29,900 Active 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $29,900 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $29,900 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $29,900 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $29,900 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $29,900 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $29,900 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $29,900 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $29,900 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $29,900 Active 23 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $29,900 Active 22 DOM
  16. 2026-05-15
    price $37,500 212-char remark
  17. 2026-05-08
    listed $52,100 Active 212-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$768 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$768 · $64/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,522
− Mortgage interest
−$1,675
− Property taxes
−$768
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,002
− Management
−$1,002
− Depreciation
−$870
Taxable income
$7,056
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,694
After-tax cash flow
$5,400/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Panorama Community School District
NCES district ID
1900025
Math proficiency
70% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$53,636
Composite
59.31/100
National rank
#933
State rank
#146 of 289 in IA

Livability — Panora

Score
76/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3572

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Panora, IA
City population
2,809
Population (ZIP)
2,809

Population outlook (Guthrie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,248 people
By 2030
9,993 · -2.5%
By 2040
9,440 · -7.9%
By 2050
8,926 · -12.9%
By 2075
8,466 · -17.4%
By 2100
7,842 · -23.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Serbian 3% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Guthrie

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.0) · D 30.3% · R 68.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-30.3pp toward R · 2008: -7.7pp · 2024: -38.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.0 2020: R+35.9 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+10.2 2008: R+7.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.38%
Current HPI
265.8266
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-42.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Pending DMMLS
  • 2026-05-26 Price Changed $29,900 DMMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $37,500 DMMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $52,100 DMMLS

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $768 · -2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…