5 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,892 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,060/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,271
Tax + insurance
−$404
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$433
Net cashflow
$-48/mo
Annual
$-574/yr
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.85%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$67,876
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $242k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-48 ($-574/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $235k (2.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (15.0% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $206k (15.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#462 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Belton ISD (suburban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #285 of 826 in TX (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Miller Heights El (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,791 of 4,322 statewide, top 68%, 317 students, 82% FRL); Lake Belton Middle (math 47% / reading 52%, grade C, #356 of 1,662 statewide, top 23%, 826 students, 30% FRL); Belton H S (math 39% / reading 46%, grade F, #721 of 1,632 statewide, top 45%, 1,941 students, 46% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 750 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,222 units permitted in Bell County in 2024 (246 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bell County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.6% in Belton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TFJBM7AR0JH3CM
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29