1913 Jadd St · Belton, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.2/30.0
- ARV discount +8.1/15.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$242,415
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step into the stunning Franklin floorplan at Hidden Trails in Belton, Texas. Featuring 5 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and approximately 1,892 sq. ft. of meticulously crafted living space, this home is perfect for you. On the first floor, you'll find a spacious, open concept living area ideal for entertaining guests or enjoying family time. The beautifully designed kitchen is the heart of the home, showcasing a large island, sleek stainless-steel appliances, and generous counter space-perfect for cooking, serving, and gathering. A conveniently located half bath sits near the stairs for added ease. Upstairs, all five bedrooms are thoughtfully arranged alongside the laundry room for easy access. T
Key facts
- Designed kitchen
- Large island
- Franklin floorplan
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $250,215
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car garage
- Home design: Single-family property; Franklin floor plan
- Exterior features: Living area approximately 1892
Interior
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms, 1 half bathroom
- Interior features: Spec home (Franklin plan); Active listing
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $242k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-48 ($-574/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $235k (2.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (15.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $206k (15.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.6% in Belton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#462 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Belton ISD (suburban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #285 of 826 in TX (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Miller Heights El (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,791 of 4,322 statewide, top 68%, 317 students, 82% FRL); Lake Belton Middle (math 47% / reading 52%, grade C, #356 of 1,662 statewide, top 23%, 826 students, 30% FRL); Belton H S (math 39% / reading 46%, grade F, #721 of 1,632 statewide, top 45%, 1,941 students, 46% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 750 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,222 units permitted in Bell County in 2024 (246 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bell County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.85%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $245,960
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1009 E Ave S | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,917 (+1%) | 6mo | $249,900 | $130 | 74 |
| 2309 Miller St | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,922 (+2%) | 3mo | $249,900 | $130 | 74 |
| 1933 Jadd St | 0.04mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,675 (-12%) | 1mo | $248,886 | $149 | 71 |
| 1619 Tremont St | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,625 (-14%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $40 | 58 |
| 350 Arnold Dr | 0.47mi | 4/4.0 (-1) | 2,114 (+12%) | 7mo | $359,999 | $170 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-45,784
- Equity at exit
- $36,145
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.15×
- Total profit
- $-57,485
- Equity at exit
- $20,960
Cash invested: $67,876 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76513
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 750
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,060 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,271
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$303 /mo · $3,636/yr
- Insurance
- −$101
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$433
- Net cashflow
- $-48
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $120 | -5% $36 | +0% $-48 | +5% $-132 | +10% $-215 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-211 | -5% $-129 | +0% $-48 | +5% $34 | +10% $115 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $74 | -0.5pp $14 | base $-48 | +0.5pp $-111 | +1.0pp $-175 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,604
- Closing costs
- $7,272
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1815 Liberty Hill Dr Belton, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1627 | $1,700 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1920 Royal Loop Belton, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1683 | $1,850 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1920 Royal Loop Belton, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1489 | $1,850 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1830 Royal Loop Belton, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1683 | $1,750 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1826 Royal Loop Belton, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1683 | $1,750 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1003 Allie Way Belton, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1698 | $1,750 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1814 Royal Loop Belton, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1698 | $1,750 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1308 Long Creek Ln Belton, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2412 | $2,795 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1719 Fossil Trl Belton, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1982 | $2,095 | $1.06 | 15d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $242,415 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$250,215 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,720
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,579
- − Property taxes
- −$3,636
- − Insurance
- −$1,212
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,978
- − Management
- −$1,978
- − Depreciation
- −$7,052
- Taxable loss
- −$4,714
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,131
- After-tax cash flow
- $557/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Belton ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4809860
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,239
- Composite
- 37.62/100
- National rank
- #4378
- State rank
- #285 of 826 in TX
Livability — Belton
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #462
- US rank
- #9300
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Belton, TX
- County
- Bell County · 345,090 people
- City population
- 45,928
- Metro
- Killeen-Temple, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,928
- Household income
- $80,661
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1198.0
Population outlook (Bell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 371,114 people
- By 2030
- 389,104 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 420,592 · +13.3%
- By 2050
- 447,779 · +20.7%
- By 2075
- 499,130 · +34.5%
- By 2100
- 505,680 · +36.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 14% Black 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 13% Korean 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bell
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.2) · D 41.3% · R 57.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: -9.8pp · 2024: -16.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.2 2020: R+8.5 2016: R+15.1 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+9.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.10%
- Current HPI
- 183.6715
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.29%
- Metro
- Killeen-Temple, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…