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1913 Jadd St
D- Composite 39.97
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.1/15.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$242,415

1913 Jadd St · Belton, TX 76513
5 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,892 sqft · SingleFamily · 4 Days on market
Built 2026 Est $246k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Step into the stunning Franklin floorplan at Hidden Trails in Belton, Texas. Featuring 5 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and approximately 1,892 sq. ft. of meticulously crafted living space, this home is perfect for you. On the first floor, you'll find a spacious, open concept living area ideal for entertaining guests or enjoying family time. The beautifully designed kitchen is the heart of the home, showcasing a large island, sleek stainless-steel appliances, and generous counter space-perfect for cooking, serving, and gathering. A conveniently located half bath sits near the stairs for added ease. Upstairs, all five bedrooms are thoughtfully arranged alongside the laundry room for easy access. T

Key facts

  • Designed kitchen
  • Large island
  • Franklin floorplan

Tags

FRANKLIN FLOORPLANOPEN CONCEPT LIVING AREADESIGNED KITCHENLARGE ISLANDSTAINLESS-STEEL APPLIANCESGENEROUS COUNTER SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price $250,215

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car garage
  • Home design: Single-family property; Franklin floor plan
  • Exterior features: Living area approximately 1892

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms, 1 half bathroom
  • Interior features: Spec home (Franklin plan); Active listing

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $242k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-48 ($-574/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $235k (2.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (15.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $206k (15.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.6% in Belton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#462 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Belton ISD (suburban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #285 of 826 in TX (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Miller Heights El (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,791 of 4,322 statewide, top 68%, 317 students, 82% FRL); Lake Belton Middle (math 47% / reading 52%, grade C, #356 of 1,662 statewide, top 23%, 826 students, 30% FRL); Belton H S (math 39% / reading 46%, grade F, #721 of 1,632 statewide, top 45%, 1,941 students, 46% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 750 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,222 units permitted in Bell County in 2024 (246 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bell County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $206,001 (15.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.85%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$245,960
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1009 E Ave S 0.24mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,917 (+1%) 6mo $249,900 $130 74
2309 Miller St 0.29mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,922 (+2%) 3mo $249,900 $130 74
1933 Jadd St 0.04mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,675 (-12%) 1mo $248,886 $149 71
1619 Tremont St 0.22mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,625 (-14%) 2mo $65,000 $40 58
350 Arnold Dr 0.47mi 4/4.0 (-1) 2,114 (+12%) 7mo $359,999 $170 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.6%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-45,784
Equity at exit
$36,145
10-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.15×
Total profit
$-57,485
Equity at exit
$20,960

Cash invested: $67,876 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76513

Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
750
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,060 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,271
Tax est. 1.5%
$303 /mo · $3,636/yr
Insurance
$101
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$433
Net cashflow
$-48

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,121
Max offer price $235,488
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $120 -5% $36 +0% $-48 +5% $-132 +10% $-215
Rent -10% $-211 -5% $-129 +0% $-48 +5% $34 +10% $115
Rate -1.0pp $74 -0.5pp $14 base $-48 +0.5pp $-111 +1.0pp $-175

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,604
Closing costs
$7,272
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1815 Liberty Hill Dr Belton, TX 4.0 2.0 1627 $1,700 $1.04 45d 1 0.27mi
1920 Royal Loop Belton, TX 4.0 2.5 1683 $1,850 $1.10 45d 1 0.29mi
1920 Royal Loop Belton, TX 4.0 2.5 1489 $1,850 $1.24 25d 1 0.29mi
1830 Royal Loop Belton, TX 4.0 3.0 1683 $1,750 $1.04 45d 1 0.34mi
1826 Royal Loop Belton, TX 4.0 2.5 1683 $1,750 $1.04 45d 1 0.34mi
1003 Allie Way Belton, TX 4.0 2.5 1698 $1,750 $1.03 45d 1 0.34mi
1814 Royal Loop Belton, TX 4.0 2.5 1698 $1,750 $1.03 45d 1 0.35mi
1308 Long Creek Ln Belton, TX 5.0 2.5 2412 $2,795 $1.16 25d 1 1.29mi
1719 Fossil Trl Belton, TX 4.0 2.0 1982 $2,095 $1.06 15d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $242,415 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $250,215 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,720
− Mortgage interest
−$13,579
− Property taxes
−$3,636
− Insurance
−$1,212
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,978
− Management
−$1,978
− Depreciation
−$7,052
Taxable loss
−$4,714
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,131
After-tax cash flow
$557/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belton ISD
NCES district ID
4809860
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$61,239
Composite
37.62/100
National rank
#4378
State rank
#285 of 826 in TX

Livability — Belton

Score
68/100
State rank
#462
US rank
#9300

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Belton, TX
County
Bell County · 345,090 people
City population
45,928
Metro
Killeen-Temple, TX
Population (ZIP)
45,928
Household income
$80,661
Rent vs Own
28.1% rent · 71.9% own
Severe rent burden
1198.0

Population outlook (Bell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
371,114 people
By 2030
389,104 · +4.8%
By 2040
420,592 · +13.3%
By 2050
447,779 · +20.7%
By 2075
499,130 · +34.5%
By 2100
505,680 · +36.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 14% Black 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 13% Korean 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bell

2024 margin
R (+16.2) · D 41.3% · R 57.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.5pp toward R · 2008: -9.8pp · 2024: -16.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.2 2020: R+8.5 2016: R+15.1 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+9.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -105.10%
Current HPI
183.6715
Rent YoY
▲ 1.29%
Metro
Killeen-Temple, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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