2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 1998
· Manufactured
· Active
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$935/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$361
Tax + insurance
−$115
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$196
Net cashflow
$262/mo
Annual
$3,149/yr
Cap rate
10.86%
Cash-on-cash
16.32%
DSCR
1.73
1% rule
1.36%
Cash to close
$19,292
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $69k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($935 rent vs $69k).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $65k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $476 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#513 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
Ben Hill County (rural): math 19% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #145 of 174 in GA (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Ben Hill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ben Hill County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 95% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 5.0% in Fitzgerald — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The roof appears to be old and possibly leaking.
Major: exterior siding
— The exterior siding is in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
Major: paint
— The paint is peeling and in poor condition.
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— No visible signs of recent maintenance or updates.
Major: landscaping
— The landscaping is overgrown and unkempt.
Major: windows
— No windows are visible in the photos, but the overall condition suggests they may be in poor shape.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29