3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,635 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 60 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,101/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,258
Tax + insurance
−$400
HOA
−$136
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$441
Net cashflow
$-134/mo
Annual
$-1,613/yr
Cap rate
5.62%
Cash-on-cash
-2.40%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$67,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $240k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-134 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $220k (8.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (12.4% below list).
It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $210k (12.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#121 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
Lexington 01 (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #11 of 80 in SC (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Red Bank Elementary (math 36% / reading 45%, grade F, #286 of 597 statewide, top 49%, 568 students, 41% FRL); Carolina Springs Middle (math 25% / reading 39%, grade F, #119 of 229 statewide, top 54%, 914 students, 46% FRL); White Knoll High (math 47% / reading 85%, grade B, #81 of 196 statewide, top 42%, 2,204 students, 45% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 572 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TFNVTE08NVGYPH
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29