3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,188 sqft ·
Built 2003
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,545/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$229
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$324
Net cashflow
$-5/mo
Annual
$-64/yr
Cap rate
6.26%
Cash-on-cash
-0.12%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$53,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5 ($-64/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $189k (0.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $154k (18.7% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $154k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#309 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
New London-Spicer School District (town): math 55% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #59 of 301 in MN (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Prairie Woods Elementary (math 64% / reading 53%, grade B-, #251 of 857 statewide, top 30%, 567 students, 33% FRL); New London-Spicer Middle (math 53% / reading 60%, grade B, #38 of 258 statewide, top 15%, 476 students, 28% FRL); New London-Spicer Sr. (math 42% / reading 62%, grade D+, #111 of 471 statewide, top 26%, 465 students, 26% FRL).
Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Kandiyohi County in 2024 (118 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $54k; list at $190k implies a 252% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 1.7% in New London — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TG9KDW5HAWS27R
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29