2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,176 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 62 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$163
Tax + insurance
−$168
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$210
Net cashflow
$460/mo
Annual
$5,516/yr
Cap rate
26.24%
Cash-on-cash
71.23%
DSCR
4.17
1% rule
3.23%
Cash to close
$8,680
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $31k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $460 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $31k).
It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $29k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $888 of equity ($214 loan paydown + $674 appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#704 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Oil City Area SD (town): math 20% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #436 of 539 in PA (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 42 units permitted in Venango County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Venango County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 26.2% vs local median 9.6% in Oil City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TKKV2Z7D1KHHVM
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29