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1006 North St
B Composite 74.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$31,000

1006 North St · Oil City, PA 16301
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1900 2,178 sqft lot $26/sqft · 72% below area ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Private area. Ample parking. 3BR possible for 4th or extra area. River view. Near the Samuel Justus trail and Allegheny River. Little work could go a long way to make this your live in or investment space.

Key facts

  • River view
  • Ample parking
  • Private area

Tags

PRIVATE AREAAMPLE PARKINGRIVER VIEWNEAR THE SAMUEL JUSTUS TRAIL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $31k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $460 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $31k).
  • Recommended offer: $30k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 26.2% vs local median 9.6% in Oil City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#704 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Oil City Area SD (town): math 20% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #436 of 539 in PA (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 42 units permitted in Venango County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $888 of equity ($214 loan paydown + $674 appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
  • Venango County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $30,070 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.23%
Cap rate
26.24%
Cash-on-cash
71.23%
DSCR
4.17
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$87,810
List price
$31,000
Delta
-64.70%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1120 W Second St 0.25mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,072 (-9%) 22mo $19,500 $18 50
16 W Eighth St 0.72mi 2/1.5 1,280 (+9%) 22mo $110,100 $86 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
67.6%
Equity multiple
4.66×
Total profit
$31,768
Equity at exit
$12,523
10-year hold
IRR
67.9%
Equity multiple
9.51×
Total profit
$73,896
Equity at exit
$18,264

Cash invested: $8,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16301

Home prices YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$163
Tax from tax record
$99 /mo · $1,191/yr
Insurance
$13
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$210
Net cashflow
$460

Break-even live

Break-even rent $418
Max offer price $31,000
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $477 -5% $468 +0% $460 +5% $451 +10% $442
Rent -10% $381 -5% $420 +0% $460 +5% $499 +10% $539
Rate -1.0pp $475 -0.5pp $468 base $460 +0.5pp $452 +1.0pp $443

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,750
Closing costs
$930
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
211 Central Ave Unit 1 Oil City, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,000 $0.83 44d 1 0.89mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $31,000 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $31,000 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $31,000 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $31,000 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $31,000 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $31,000 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $31,000 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $31,000 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $31,000 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $31,000 Active 48 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $33,000 Active 45 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $33,000 Active 44 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $33,000 Active 43 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $33,000 Active 42 DOM
  15. 2026-05-15
    price $33,000 205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (205 chars)

    Private area. Ample parking. 3BR possible for 4th or extra area. River view. Near the Samuel Justus trail and Allegheny River. Little work could go a long way to make this your live in or investment space.

  16. 2026-04-19
    listed $35,000 Active 205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (205 chars)

    Private area. Ample parking. 3BR possible for 4th or extra area. River view. Near the Samuel Justus trail and Allegheny River. Little work could go a long way to make this your live in or investment space.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,191 · $99/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,191 · $99/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥93°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,000
− Mortgage interest
−$1,736
− Property taxes
−$1,191
− Insurance
−$822
− Repairs & maintenance
−$960
− Management
−$960
− Depreciation
−$902
Taxable income
$5,429
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,303
After-tax cash flow
$4,213/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oil City Area SD
NCES district ID
4218090
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$37,451
Composite
27.39/100
National rank
#6973
State rank
#436 of 539 in PA

Livability — Oil City

Score
71/100
State rank
#704
US rank
#6931

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oil City, PA
Population (ZIP)
15,067

Population outlook (Venango County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,827 people
By 2030
46,061 · -5.7%
By 2040
39,989 · -18.1%
By 2050
34,094 · -30.2%
By 2075
22,500 · -53.9%
By 2100
13,659 · -72.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Iranian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Venango

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.2pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+41.4 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.18%
Current HPI
218.0124
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $33,000 AVBREALTORS
  • 2026-04-19 Listed $35,000 AVBREALTORS

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,191 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…