3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,210 sqft ·
Built 1950
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 55 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,244/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,098
Tax + insurance
−$483
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$681
Net cashflow
$-18/mo
Annual
$-218/yr
Cap rate
6.24%
Cash-on-cash
-0.19%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$112,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $400k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-18 ($-218/yr) — negative. Per door: $-9/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $397k (0.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $324k (18.9% below list).
It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($388k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $324k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#72 in OR, #3,256 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
David Douglas SD 40 (urban): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #99 of 183 in OR (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Mill Park Elementary School (446 students, 84% FRL); Ron Russell Middle School (770 students, 77% FRL); David Douglas High School (2,698 students, 73% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $210k; list at $400k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.2% in Portland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,244/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 1744% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29