3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,164 sqft ·
Built 1976
· Manufactured
· Active
· 48 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,102/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$111
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$232
Net cashflow
$261/mo
Annual
$3,136/yr
Cap rate
9.59%
Cash-on-cash
11.79%
DSCR
1.52
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#154 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Orleans Community Schools (rural): math 23% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #256 of 301 in IN (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Orleans Elementary School (math 29% / reading 31%, grade F, #693 of 994 statewide, top 70%, 512 students, 55% FRL); Orleans Jr-Sr High School (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #325 of 369 statewide, top 91%, 396 students, 50% FRL).
Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TQQYED5805M7MB
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29