2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
876 sqft ·
Built 1997
· Townhouse
· Active
· 88 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,999/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$300
HOA
−$276
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$420
Net cashflow
$60/mo
Annual
$724/yr
Cap rate
6.70%
Cash-on-cash
1.44%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
1.11%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $180k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $60 ($724/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $169k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 90/100 on livability (#3 in MN, #102 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+.
Shakopee Public School District (suburban): math 42% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #95 of 301 in MN (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 461 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 699 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
Scott County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.3% in Shakopee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Dated and could be updated
Minor: Bathroom cabinets
— Dated and could be updated
Minor: Paint
— Faded and could be refreshed
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29