1279 Taylor St #5 · Shakopee, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wonderful 2 bed 2 bath townhome in Shakopee! Open main level, granite countertops, functional layout with main floor laundry, 1-car garage, rentals allowed, nice clean bathrooms with full bath upstairs and 1/2 bath on main level. Heat, water, sewer, trash & more included in HOA fee. Come see!
Key facts
- Clean bathrooms
- Main floor laundry
- Granite countertops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $180k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $60 ($724/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $169k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.3% in Shakopee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 90/100 on livability (#3 in MN, #102 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+.
- Shakopee Public School District (suburban): math 42% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #95 of 301 in MN (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 461 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 699 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Scott County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.44%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-22,977
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-5,304
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55379
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 461
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,999 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,698/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$276
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $60
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1600 Windermere Way Shakopee, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 895 | $2,250 | $2.51 | 1d | 29 | 0.76mi |
| 1620 Lusitano St Shakopee, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1079 | $2,405 | $2.23 | 1d | 15 | 1.03mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $276 · $3,312/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrash
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-03-04historical
Show marketing remark (297 chars)
Wonderful 2 bed 2 bath townhome in Shakopee! Open main level, granite countertops, functional layout with main floor laundry, 1-car garage, rentals allowed, nice clean bathrooms with full bath upstairs and 1/2 bath on main level. Heat, water, sewer, trash & more included in HOA fee. Come see!
-
2026-03-04$179,900 Active 297-char remark
Show marketing remark (297 chars)
Wonderful 2 bed 2 bath townhome in Shakopee! Open main level, granite countertops, functional layout with main floor laundry, 1-car garage, rentals allowed, nice clean bathrooms with full bath upstairs and 1/2 bath on main level. Heat, water, sewer, trash & more included in HOA fee. Come see!
-
2025-09-30status Active
-
2025-09-24status Pending
-
2025-08-21$189,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,993
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$2,698
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,919
- − Management
- −$1,919
- − HOA
- −$3,312
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$2,066
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$496
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,219/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This townhome is in fair condition with cosmetic updates needed. Fresh paint and modern kitchen/bathroom updates would significantly enhance its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Dated and could be updated
- Minor Bathroom cabinets — Dated and could be updated
- Minor Paint — Faded and could be refreshed
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint refresh — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Modernizing these spaces can attract more buyers/renters
- Rental HVAC maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system is crucial for rental properties
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Dated and could be updated | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom cabinets · Dated and could be updated | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Paint · Faded and could be refreshed | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint refresh — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Modernizing these spaces can attract more buyers/renters ↑
- Rental HVAC maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system is crucial for rental properties ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shakopee Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2733000
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $79,637
- Composite
- 44.73/100
- National rank
- #2751
- State rank
- #95 of 301 in MN
Livability — Shakopee
- Score
- 90/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #102
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shakopee, MN
- County
- Scott County · 116,975 people
- City population
- 50,041
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,041
- Household income
- $106,312
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1009.0
Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 165,899 people
- By 2030
- 177,290 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 199,019 · +20.0%
- By 2050
- 216,883 · +30.7%
- By 2075
- 256,099 · +54.4%
- By 2100
- 276,434 · +66.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 10% Two or more races 9% Black 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 9% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Scott
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.5) · D 44.8% · R 53.3% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: -11.2pp · 2024: -8.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.5 2020: R+6.6 2016: R+15.4 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+11.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -253.64%
- Current HPI
- 218.9993
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.05%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
-5.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-04 Listed $179,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-04 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-30 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-24 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-21 Listed $189,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…