1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
646 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Condo
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,197/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$430
Tax + insurance
−$563
HOA
−$250
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$251
Net cashflow
$-298/mo
Annual
$-3,570/yr
Cap rate
8.18%
Cash-on-cash
6.74%
DSCR
1.30
1% rule
1.46%
Cash to close
$22,960
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $82k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-298 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $39k (52.5% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $82k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $39k (52.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $567 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#1 in LA, #261 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Alice Birney Elementary School (math 22% / reading 25%, grade F, #406 of 646 statewide, top 63%, 605 students, 54% FRL); J.D. Meisler Middle School (math 13% / reading 28%, grade F, #161 of 218 statewide, top 76%, 753 students, 50% FRL); Grace King High School (math 16% / reading 23%, grade F, #186 of 265 statewide, top 73%, 1,463 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools average 51% FRL vs 70% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 21% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 394 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 103d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.8% in Metairie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29